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938 (81-90)
March 15, 2021
Analyst:
Participants: T. Rowe Price, Invesco, and Federated Hermes
Moderator: Brian Bedell, US Asset Manager Research Analyst

This session was conducted as a panel with Sustainability leaders at T. Rowe Price, Invesco, and Federated Hermes. It covered panelists’ view on the success and challenges of integrating ESG considerations within their investment processes across a wide & diverse array of investment strategies, how third-party ESG data is used with development of proprietary analytics in combination with active management to generate alpha, what the prospects are for ESG demand to accelerate in the US and what types of investment products & solutions are developing the most demand. From the dbAccess ESG Conference March 2021. [more]
March 15, 2021
Participants: HP, Bloomberg, and Franklin Templeton
Moderator: Christiana Riley, Member of the Management Board, CEO Americas, Deutsche Bank

The focus of this panel was to help investors engage with corporates on the topic of Diversity & Inclusion. The group was expected to address what should be considered to represent a successful D&I effort along with discussion on what key issues need to be addressed by corporates today. From the dbAccess ESG Conference March 2021. [more]
March 10, 2021
Region:
On March 14, regional elections in Baden-Württemberg (BW) and Rhineland-Palatinate (RP) will provide the first electoral test for the parties in the run-up to the federal elections. Polls see the ruling Greens in BW, respectively the SPD in RP in the lead, but uncertainty about the polls is higher this time given the fallout from the pandemic. Additional headwinds for the CDU result from a current political outrage over questionable procurement deals of two CDU/CSU Bundestag MPs. The new CDU party leader Laschet is not up for election but the performance of the CDU will of course be (partly) attributed to him. However, as long as the CDU is not experiencing a severe setback compared to its 2016 results, Laschet’s chances of being nominated as the CDU/CSU chancellor candidate remains intact in our view. [more]
March 9, 2021
Region:
At the onset of this decisive election year, Germany finds itself confronted with an increasingly multipolar world, a weakened liberal, rule-based world order and rapid technological change. By applying the concept of a SWOT analysis, we aim at kicking off a debate about possible trajectories for the German economy in the post-Merkel era. As key threats to Germany’s "business model" (export-driven with a strong innovative industrial base), we identify (i) a continued erosion of the liberal rule-based trading and investment order and (ii) the falling behind in the global tech race with respect to Green-tech, AI and IoT. By plotting these two threats on separate axes, we then develop four scenarios and identify key drivers that will define Germany‘s position on these axes. For the new government complacency or reactive policies are no options – "High-Tech Made in Germany" might turn out to be an upside scenario. Strong reform effort of both the government and corporate sector is needed in order to secure Germany’s place in the "best-of-all-worlds" scenario. This requires a proper allocation of R&D investments, reaping the benefits of industrial data and an accelerated diffusion of cross-sectoral technologies like AI. [more]
March 3, 2021
Jonathan Jayarajan, Deputy Head of EMEA Equity Research, Managing Director, Deutsche Bank speaks with Jörg Eigendorf, Global Head of Communications & Corporate Social Responsibility, where he provides an overview of how Deutsche Bank is progressing towards aims of becoming a leader in sustainability in the finance industry. Jorg covers insights on approach, obstacles, and milestones so far. [more]
March 1, 2021
This year's National People's Congress (NPC) will start on Friday, March 5, and will last for about 2 weeks. In this podcast we provide a preview of the key policy issues for the NPC where we expect the government will set a floor growth target at 7-7.5% for 2021, leaving sufficient room to pursue its longer-term policy priorities. The 2021 budget will likely roll back about 60% of Covid-19 related stimulus measures. Nevertheless, government spending will likely increase 7% over last year, thanks to a strong fiscal revenue outlook. [more]
March 1, 2021
Region:
The COVID-19-related restrictions on German public life in the winter half of 2020/21 have again noticeably limited the consumption possibilities of private households. Large parts of brick and mortar retail trade as well as service businesses relying on personal interaction had to close, tourism and most of the hospitality industry lie fallow. The unwinding of this pent-up demand will be key to a post-lockdown recovery. But how much momentum can be expected from a meltdown of additional savings induced by the COVID-19 restrictions? To quantify an answer to this question, we present two scenarios. A conservative scenario assumes that about 30% of additional savings will flow back into private consumption in 2021, while almost 70% would remain in household deposits or assets. In an upside scenario with 40% of the additional savings flowing back into spending in 2021 already, our private consumption forecast would be lifted by a good 1pp providing a ½ pp upside for German GDP in 2021. [more]
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