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Video: Gap Factor Premium

18. August 2022
July saw a notable rebound in equity and bond markets – albeit perhaps counterintuitively, given how initially worse economic data had sparked expectations of a dovish Fed pivot. But then investors had to adjust expectations again, after July employment numbers suggested that the Fed may stay on course. According to Blaz Zlicar, markets will continue to be in a state of flux: inflation vs growth. He says “That is the name of the game these days”. Watch this video for more. [mehr]

Weitere Dokumente zum Thema "International"

363 (13-24)
2. November 2022
13
Perry Kojodjojo and Oliver Harvey from Deutsche Bank Emerging Market Research discuss the recently published EM Currency and Local Markets Handbook. The new and revitalised handbook covers over 30 local EM markets in detail, covering liquidity, market structure and regulations in FX, local bonds and IRS, as well as targeted descriptions of monetary policy and market participants. The Handbook is designed to be an essential tool for institutional and corporate clients in navigating an increasingly complex and fragmented EM regulatory and macro environment, with new sections on unconventional monetary policy by EM central banks, new markets such as Kenya and Pakistan and a discussion of the evolving EM market landscape. [mehr]
21. Oktober 2022
14
In recent weeks, markets have been very volatile as they digest announcements from global policymakers and central bank responses to persistently elevated inflation. In the latest episode of Podzept, Matthew Luzzetti, Chief US Economist, and Matthew Raskin, Head of US Rates Research, discuss their views on the outlook for Fed policy and the US yield curve. [mehr]
19. Oktober 2022
Autor:
15
While the "Space" industry emerged many decades ago, public interest significantly diminished toward the latter part of the 20th century as entrepreneurs mostly avoided the sector due to high barriers to entry, regulation, and limited deployment opportunities.

Edison Yu, lead coverage of Global Space & Aerial Mobility, believes two developments can change this and ensure space will be the next frontier for limitless growth: 1) the emergence of a new "Space Race," both between industry titans (Musk vs. Bezos) and between nations (US vs. China/Russia), has captivated audiences around the world and 2) the deployment of mega constellations (Starlink, OneWeb, Amazon Kuiper) has facilitated massive investment in infrastructure and supply chains.

Read the new report ‘The Big Rocket Shortage’ to find out more. [mehr]
14. Oktober 2022
16
Die Aussichten für die Wirtschaft und die Märkte haben sich seit der Juni-Ausgabe unseres Weltwirtschaftlichen Ausblicks merklich verschlechtert. An den Rentenmärkten platzt eine historische Blase, an den Aktienmärkten findet eine Korrektur statt, wie sie nur einmal pro Generation vorkommt, und die Flucht in den USD hält an. Wir haben als Erste eine Rezession in den USA zum Jahresende 2023 prognostiziert – diese Erwartung ist inzwischen Konsens. Auch für den Euroraum bzw. Deutschland erwarten wir für 2023 eine Kontraktion um mindestens 2% bzw. 3%. [mehr]
12. Oktober 2022
17
Emerging economies face an extremely challenging environment. Rising USD and EUR yields as the Fed and ECB raise policy rates quickly to try to stabilize prices; depreciating currencies, especially against the dollar, as a consequence; slowing growth; extreme climate events and the economic consequences of the war in Ukraine in the form of a further boost to food and fuel prices. [mehr]
29. September 2022
18
Since our last House View in June, the economic and market outlook has deteriorated dramatically. We are in the midst of a historic bursting of the bond bubble, and a once-in-a-generation equity revaluation, combined with a sustained flight into the USD. The latter has been driven by geopolitical consideration as well as the failure of the ECB and the BoE to act as decisively on inflation as the Fed. Our street-leading prediction of a US recession by end-2023 has become increasingly mainstream, and we also expect the Euro Area and German economy to contract by at least -2% and -3% respectively next year. [mehr]
28. September 2022
19
In a new annual report ‘Long-term asset return study 2022: How we got here and where we’re going…..’ our thematics team explore 2022, which has been one of the toughest years for financial markets in decades. Bonds and equities are declining in unison, and we are now in the first global bear market for government bonds in 70 years. Read an extract touching on these themes, but with the main report focusing on how we got into the perilous economic, social and political situation in which we find ourselves today. Clients of Deutsche Bank Research can access the full report here. [mehr]
22. September 2022
20
We believe Consumer Staples companies are defined by the health and strength of their brands. As a result, we’ve just published a major piece of research which we call ‘the Brand Wagon’. In the report we analyse A&P investment over the last 25 years for the 26 largest Consumer Staples companies we cover in both Europe and the US.

This analysis allows us to assess how company investment in brands affects both financial and share price performance over the long term. We also look at how changing media consumption habits are impacting the way Consumer Staples companies build brands and whether the shift to digital versus traditional is making marketing investment cheaper or more effective. [mehr]
22. September 2022
21
Do you have Private Equity in your portfolio and worry about illiquidity and valuation markdowns?

In this new video, Ganchi Zhang from our Quantitative Investment Solutions Research team summaries how our PE replication framework harnesses a better liquidity and risk profile. [mehr]
14. September 2022
24
The two big drivers of corporate returns over the last decade have been upended in 2022. Specifically, corporates can no longer rely on higher debt or fatter profit margins as they have done post-financial crisis. Instead, to increase returns on equity, they might need to focus on generating more sales from existing assets - in other words, boost their asset turnover. [mehr]
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