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An updated world outlook

March 24, 2021

An updated world outlook

Region:
International
dbInSights - public
Analyst:
Peter Hooper
Watch video 
A year ago, markets were in freefall. The Covid pandemic was still largely in its infancy, but investors were quickly realizing that a massive recession was looming. Fast forward to today and the conversation is very different as we contemplate if growth will run too hot, how high will inflation get and could the Fed fall behind the curve. In a recent updated World Outlook report, Deutsche Bank’s Global Economics team has raised its forecast for global growth in 2021 to nearly 7%, which is well above consensus. Here is why. [more]

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Video: Emerging Markets Outlook 2022

December 20, 2021
Region:
International
Analyst:
Sameer Goel
dbInSights - public
42
The plot for emerging markets thickens further in 2022. Not just the one with Fed ‘dots’, but also the plot around the vaccination roll outs, the zero Covid strategy in China, the normalization of supply chains, and on (geo)politics, among others. There are likely still multiple twists ahead in this tale, and possibly new factors (like Omicron) to deal with. And with all of that, the answer to whether EM can turn around its structural under-allocation from the last several years as it builds back on its appeal of carry/vol and growth. [more]

Video: EU Steel Outlook 2022

December 20, 2021
Region:
International
Analyst:
Bastian Synagowitz
dbInSights - public
43
2021 was a record year in steel. We expect three key drivers to support an above-average margin environment over the next two to three years: 1) demand growth in Western markets, 2) policy support in places like China (which constrains both output and exports of steel) and 3) inflation at the tail of the cost curve. [more]
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