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16 themes driving markets and economies

February 24, 2023
How do we identify the key themes that are driving markets and economies, and also incorporate their impact into investment and corporate decisions? Adrian Cox asks Luke Templeman about his latest report ’16 themes driving markets and economies’. It highlights the top themes and explains how applying a common framework across different themes is necessary to assess how those themes can affect each other. “You can read something written by intelligent people on theme A and then theme B, and they might make sense individually, but they may overlap in ways that are mutually exclusive. That’s what really interests me”, says Templeman. [more]

More documents about "International"

370 Documents
May 25, 2023
Analyst:
1
Artificial Intelligence has been a sizzling hot topic since ChatGPT was launched at the end of November. For once, the hype may be (almost) justified. At Deutsche Bank Research, we thought it was time to take a step back to give a clear perspective for investors and businesses, and to dig into what the latest flavour of AI, Generative AI, will really mean for our future. [more]
May 24, 2023
3
Companies with a large number of employees have a big problem. Quite simply, they fail to extract as much value from each staff member as do low-staff firms. Indeed, labour-intense firms tend to have a lower market cap, thinner margins, and lower growth rates.
AI may be the way forward. In this piece, we argue that AI will make workers more productive, particularly in high-staff firms. The reason is that the profitability of high-staff firms has the highest leverage to the performance of their labour force. AI will help upskill them and streamline repetitive and mundane tasks that are more prevalent in high-staff companies. [more]
May 23, 2023
Analyst:
4
Next week will mark six months since the launch of ChatGPT, the chatbot based on OpenAI’s GPT-3.5 large language model. There has been an extraordinary flurry of launches, hype and activity since then. Even in the past week, OpenAI, Google and Meta announced fresh products, OpenAI’s CEO testified in Congress, and the G7 called for “guardrails” on AI, among many other developments. [more]
May 22, 2023
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The AI hype cycle is in overdrive. It feels like the volume of text generated by ChatGPT over the past six months has almost been matched by the volume of hyperbole about how foundation models will change the world. For once the hype is (mostly) justified. Generative AI is not another metaverse or, for that matter, another crypto currency. But it will change the world – for better and for worse. [more]
May 22, 2023
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Traditional Value and Quality investing is well understood, but how well does it translate to financial firms? In this video analyst Clayton Gillespie discusses the quant team’s latest research, which uses accounting, valuation and corporate finance insights to generate appropriate alphas for financial firms. Together they generate Value and Quality strategies that exhibit robust through-cycle behaviour and combine well with Value and Quality factors in the rest of the universe. [more]
May 12, 2023
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Artificial Intelligence (AI) is not just bringing cutting edge technology to solve some of the world’s most complex issues, from scientific research to weather forecasting. It is also transforming the way that humans interact with technology. The latest breakthroughs in large language models are enabling billions of people to generate text, images and code using everyday language like never before. [more]
May 4, 2023
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As usual, all eyes were on the Federal Reserve when it met on interest rates Wednesday. But unlike other meetings over the past year, there was a different twist this time: has the central bank reached the end of rate increases after an aggressive tightening cycle? Please watch Deutsche Bank’s chief US economist Matthew Luzzetti break down the decision, and path forward, with our Americas communications head Brian Blackstone. [more]
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