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Why the speed of impending Fed policy tightening could surprise

January 19, 2022
In a new report Peter Hooper, Head of Global Economic Research, and Matthew Luzzetti, Chief US Economist, explain that in recent months the Fed has pivoted toward a more aggressive path of exiting from its current ultra-accommodative pandemic emergency policy stance. They highlight that their view has also become considerably more hawkish, with their baseline expecting liftoff in March, four total rate hikes this year, and a rapid drawdown in the balance sheet beginning in Q3. The central message of the note is that we could be in for an even bigger hawkish surprise in the months ahead. [more]

More documents about "International"

291 Documents
May 23, 2022
Analyst:
1
In a new ‘Q&A with’ Yi Xiong, Chief Economist, Asia reviews China’s recent economic performance and shares his insights on what policy makers need to do to stabilize the economy. [more]
May 11, 2022
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Peter Hooper, Global Head of Economic Research, and Matthew Luzzetti, Chief US Economist, discuss how the US economy is the furthest away from the Fed’s targets in forty years. This gap, captured by persistently elevated inflation and a historically tight labour market, is likely to necessitate a more aggressive response from the Fed that ultimately leads to a recession by the end of next year. [more]
May 11, 2022
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Peter Hooper, Global Head of Economic Research, and Matthew Luzzetti, Chief US Economist, discuss how the US economy is the furthest away from the Fed’s targets in forty years. This gap, captured by persistently elevated inflation and a historically tight labour market, is likely to necessitate a more aggressive response from the Fed that ultimately leads to a recession by the end of next year. [more]
April 29, 2022
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Deutsche Bank Research has launched a new series of Asia Corporate Strategy Notes for our corporate clients, focusing on risk management recommendations in currency and rates markets.

The first report in this series argues that corporations should take advantage of declining Asia FX hedging costs to raise USD and EUR hedge ratios. [more]
April 28, 2022
Analyst:
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Silvia Cuneo, Online Food Delivery and Marketplaces Analyst, provides insights whether or not food delivery is still popular now that restaurants have reopened, if delivery fee matter and if grocery delivery is a threat or opportunity. [more]
April 27, 2022
Analyst:
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Deutsche Bank Research recently hosted its second annual Global ESG conference in March of this year. The purpose of the virtual event was to enable corporate & investor engagement on sustainability strategies. In addition to corporate presentations and meetings, Michael Bloomberg, UN Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for Climate Ambition and Solutions and Chair of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures served as the keynote speaker. Featured sessions included Nike's Sustainabilty team and Mastercard's Shamina Singh, Founder & President of the Center for Inclusive Growth. [more]
April 27, 2022
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Recent geopolitical events present an ESG conundrum. In Europe, exclusions for nuclear and defence were at their highest heading into the Ukraine crisis, which led to a debate regarding the social merit of certain defence capabilities and nuclear energy exposure. In our view, the debate will contribute to more inclusive approaches from asset managers regarding ESG investing strategies. This aligns with themes we heard at our Global ESG conference in early March. [more]
April 25, 2022
Analyst:
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From Meal kits to Food Delivery, Online Cars to Online Fashion, Real Estate Classifieds to Travel Marketplaces, Deutsche Bank Research differentiates their work with the use of primary research to give further weight to recommendations. Watch video for more. [more]
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