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Jan Schildbach

Analyst, Team Head
Banking, Financial Markets, Regulation

Topics:
Banking, Financial Markets and Regulation

Address:
Mainzer Landstraße 11-17
60329 Frankfurt
Germany

Contact:
Deutsche Bank Research

More documents written by Jan Schildbach

96 (85-96)
    
June 9, 2011

Home, sweet home? International banking after the crisis

Region:
International
Topic:
Banking and financial markets
Analyst:
Jan Schildbach
EU Monitor
86
The financial crisis dealt international banking a serious blow. This paper reviews 1) the extent to which financial markets have become global in recent years as well as the damage inflicted on cross-border linkages by the financial crisis, 2) the reasons for the internationalisation process and 3) prospects for international banking in the “new-normal” environment. Apart from market developments, this reflects a new focus in the political and regulatory debate aimed at increasing the – mostly domestic – grip on the banking industry. [more]
November 25, 2010

The euro debt crisis – similarities and differences

Region:
Europe
Topic:
Banking and financial markets, Economic and european policy
Analyst:
Jan Schildbach
Talking Point
87
The reasons for the current problems of some euro-area sovereigns on the capital markets differ from country to country. In the case of Greece, it was mainly a persistently unsound fiscal policy that led to a loss of confidence among investors, while in Ireland this was primarily due to a credit bubble which had inflated the size of the financial sector. [more]
May 14, 2010

Research Briefing: Direct fiscal cost of the financial crisis: Probably much lower than feared

Region:
International
Topic:
Banking and financial markets, Economic and european policy
Analyst:
Jan Schildbach
Further research articles
88
Final direct cost of the crisis for taxpayers may remain below 1% of GDP in most developed countries. This is only a small fraction of original commitments and also much lower than initial gross expenditures. Direct fiscal costs are in the end unlikely to exceed 2% in the US and 1% in Germany, while banking-sector rescue programmes in France and the UK might possibly even return a net gain. [more]
June 15, 2009

Global banking trends after the crisis

Region:
International
Topic:
Banking and financial markets, Economic and european policy
Analyst:
Jan Schildbach
EU Monitor
91
The ongoing global financial crisis, with its historic dimensions, will have a lasting impact on the banking sector. It will become a less "fashionable" and even more heavily regulated industry with greater state involvement, increased investor scrutiny and substantially higher capital levels. This will lead to lower growth, lower profits and lower volatility for banks than during the past few decades – a trend that is exacerbated by the expected lack of major growth drivers, at least for some time. [more]
June 25, 2008

European banks' foreign revenues: Europe gaining ground

Region:
Europe
Topic:
Banking and financial markets
Analyst:
Jan Schildbach
Talking Point
94
European banks have become considerably more international over the past few years, in terms of both the structure of their revenues and of their shareholders. In this context particular emphasis has been placed on strengthening the European business outside the home market, with the home market share in total revenues falling as a result – at the 20 largest European banks e.g. by 4 percentage points since 2001 to less than half. By contrast, as much as one-quarter of total revenues came from the rest of Europe in 2007 (2001: 18%). [more]
April 22, 2008

European banks: The silent (r)evolution

Region:
Europe
Topic:
Banking and financial markets, Economic and european policy, Macroeconomics
Analyst:
Jan Schildbach
EU Monitor
95
Recent market turmoil and its consequences will negatively impact the earnings of European banks for a considerable time. This reverses a long period of improvements in profitability and efficiency. But: the current environment should not distract from the trends that have favourably shaped the structure of the industry for the last 10 years and will continue to do so: consolidation, internationalisation, convergence and increasing specialisation. In this study, we consider to what extent these trends are going to further shape the banking sector in the foreseeable future. [more]
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