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Megatopic Demography  Demography lies at the heart of our socio-economic system. There is virtually no area that is not influenced by it, and the related trends around the world are not all pointing the same way. Especially the developing and emerging nations will see further population growth, while Europe and Japan will witness noticeable declines and an ageing of society. This is causing enormous economic, political and social challenges in the "old world". Without radical reforms the pay-as-you-go pension systems will be unsustainable within a few decades when the number of workers comes to equal the number of pensioners. The new age patterns will substantially change the structure of demand, financial market yields will probably fall, and growth potential will decrease.
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26.02.2010 | |
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| Demographic outlook for BRIC countries differs sharply
| Abstract: | The demographic outlook for the BRICs varies greatly. The differences in the projected change in the working-age population are very significant in both absolute and relative terms. This will impact not only economic growth prospects, but also savings and investment behaviour and potentially financial market growth prospects. Brazil and India are demographically in a substantially more favourable position than China and Russia. With the exception of India, demographic developments in the BRICs are becoming, or will soon become, a net negative in terms of per-capita growth... | | Topics: | Asia; Demography; Eastern Europe; Emerging markets; LatAm | |
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01.12.2009 | |
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25.11.2009 | |
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08.10.2009 | |
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05.08.2009 | |
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| Diabetes - the price of increasing prosperity
| Abstract: | Over the past ten years the number of diabetics worldwide has risen by 5% p.a. Ageing, sedentary lifestyles and an unhealthy diet are the driving forces behind the increasing prevalence of this chronic illness. The associated costs are huge and together with the follow-up costs they already represent 20% of the total expenditure of the statutory health insurers in Germany. It is up to lawmakers, the media and scientists to communicate more clearly the risks associated with diabetes via education and early diagnosis initiatives and to improve the quality of life of diabetics by implementing research recommendations. In addition to that of special products made by the pharmaceutical and medical equipment industries, demand is also likely to rise for functional food. | | Topics: | Chemicals industry; Demography; Food and beverages; Health care; Macroeconomics; Megatopics; Sectors / commodities | |
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06.04.2009 | |
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05.03.2009 | |
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10.12.2008 | |
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18.09.2008 | |
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| Are women really worth less?
| Abstract: | The new figures are out. German women still earned 24% less per hour than men in 2006. This unadjusted gender wage gap is a useful indicator and underlines the need for action – especially since it has not decreased significantly in recent years, in spite of women’s increasing education levels. However, this overall indicator has the limitations of all aggregated averages, in that it mixes aspects of a different nature. In particular, it is important to distinguish between potential discrimination (arising in the absence of equal pay for equal work) and “choices”, like career patterns, for instance. At the same time, the latter are only partly driven by preferences – which makes things even more complex. We see four major aspects of the gender wage gap, three pertaining to women at large, and one specific to mothers (and a few rare fathers)... | | Topics: | Demographics; Demography; Economic trends; Education; Labour market; Labour market policy; Social policy; Socio-econ. trends; Strategic foresight; Women | |
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19.05.2008 | |
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